4 matches will decide the Alabama Crimson Tide’s 2024 regular season

It is doubtful that the Alabama Crimson Tide will be the most popular topic in college football throughout the offseason.

Ultimately, four games will determine Alabama’s 2024 regular season.

Predicting the fate of any team’s 2024 season is a fantasy exercise for college football fans and analysts alike. Beyond the entertainment value of guessing a season’s events, can oddsmakers supply any helpful information? Yes and no are the right answers.

According to FanDuel, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s regular-season win total for 2024 is 9.5. Crimson Tide naysayers will interpret the 9.5 over/under wins as a 9-3 season. Alabama’s schedule contains three obvious possible losses. Alabama could also win all three of those matchups.

Looking further into ‘Vegas Odds’ provides important context.Based on extensive data, teams favored by 3.5 points in a game win 59.8% of the time. Such a win chance is close to that of a coin flip.

An optimistic Alabama Crimson Tide supporter will see the Georgia Bulldogs, who are currently 3.5 point favorites over Alabama in Tuscaloosa, as a toss-up game. If the Crimson Tide defeats the Bulldogs, it will have a chance to win a road game at LSU, where the Bengal Tigers are now favored by 2.5 points.

In this new era of Alabama football, Crimson Tide supporters are trying to figure out which side of 9.5 wins is more likely. I believe 10-2 is more likely than 8-4. With one of the top two or three most talented rosters in 2024, the Crimson Tide may finish 11-1.

Four games will define 2024 Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama is likely to be favored in at least eight regular-season matchups. The schedule includes home games against Western Kentucky, South Florida, South Carolina, Missouri, Mercer, and Auburn, as well as road games against Wisconsin and Vanderbilt. The Missouri game may be a difficult task, but I believe Alabama will win all eight games.

Georgia will play at Tuscaloosa next, followed by Tennessee, LSU, and Oklahoma on the road. The Sooners are going to be underdogs, but winning in Knoxville and Baton Rouge will not be easy.

Looking through crimson-tinted glasses, I believe the Crimson Tide will win at least two of the tough four games and conclude the regular season at no less than 10-2.

The tweet below contains a victory total forecast for all 16 SEC teams.